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How to Assess an Off-Plan Developer in RAK: The Checklist We Use on Every Transaction

  • Writer: Giles Dean
    Giles Dean
  • Apr 6
  • 6 min read

The conflict that escalated from early 2026 changed a number of things about the RAK off-plan market. One of them is developer covenant.


The word is borrowed from finance, where it describes how likely it is that a borrower (or tenant) will deliver on the obligations it is promising. In the context of an off-plan purchase, it is the right word for what a developer is asking you to extend to them: the trust that they will build what they sold you, on the timeline they committed to, with the financial capacity to see it through. In a rising market with a strong sales pipeline, developer covenant was rarely examined closely. Most developers, adequately funded, delivered. Buyers who did not check were usually fine.


That is no longer the environment buyers are entering. RAK Properties, RAK's largest listed developer, with a multi-decade completion record and AED 4 billion in 2025 revenue, paused new project launches after the March 2026 escalation. Its CEO Sameh Muhtadi stated: "We've mapped out a number of scenarios and decided that now is not the time to launch new projects." If that is the posture of RAK's strongest developer, the question of covenant for the rest of the field is not academic. It is the first thing a buyer should assess.


Why I Am Better Placed Than Most to Help With This Assessment


Building 1Rebel to a GBP 50m+ valuation involved capital-intensive physical construction across multiple sites, site programmes, main contractors, fitout subcontractors, and the direct experience of what a construction programme looks like when it is performing and what it looks like when it is drifting. That background is not the same as being a developer. In some ways it is more useful: it is the experience of being on the principal's side of a contractor relationship, dependent on delivery, with no choice but to learn early when things are not going to plan.


Most off-plan buyers focus their due diligence on the contract. They review the SPA, check the payment schedule, and satisfy themselves that the legal protections are in order. That work matters, but it is the wrong starting point. A well-drafted SPA defines what you are owed if a developer fails. It does not establish whether they will. The question I bring to every transaction we consider is different: does this developer have the financial capacity, the contractor relationships, and the track record to actually complete what they are selling? And right now, specifically: are they positioned to keep building through a period when the sales pipeline has softened and contracting costs have risen?


What Happens When the Answer Is No


In 2005, Schon Properties launched Dubai Lagoon, a 4,166-unit residential complex in Dubai Investments Park, sold off-plan to hundreds of buyers before construction began. In December 2024, the Dubai Land Department marked the project "under cancellation." Some investors had been waiting nineteen years. One buyer had paid 75% of the purchase price on a unit that was never delivered. A British investor left Dubai in 2023 after sixteen years without seeing her investment materialise, according to reporting by Gulf News and Khaleej Times.


The project's failure was not sudden, and the warning signs were checkable. Construction progress stalled early relative to the stated programme. Deadlines were revised repeatedly. Most critically, subsequent investigation found that buyer funds had not been deposited into the required escrow accounts as mandated. The Dubai Land Department seized company assets in 2018.


That last point is important. The escrow violation was the decisive failure but it was also the most easily verified one. Any buyer who had asked the developer for their escrow account number and the name of the registered trustee bank, then confirmed with that bank that the account existed and was funded, would have received an answer that changed their decision. Almost nobody made that call.


Dubai Lagoon predates the regulatory reforms that followed the 2008 crash and RAK's own Law No. 12 of 2023, which now mandates escrow registration for all RAK off-plan projects. But the lesson it demonstrates, that most delivery failures contain early signals, and that those signals are findable before you sign, remains entirely current.


The Checklist We Use on Every Transaction


At Dean Property, every development we consider goes through the same structured assessment before we introduce it to a buyer. We have completed deals with the major RAK developers, which means we have operational knowledge of how their processes work and established relationships with the people inside those organisations who can answer questions that are not in any public document. The following is how we approach a developer we are assessing for the first time.


Financial position: start with what is public

For listed developers, RAK Properties on the Abu Dhabi Securities Exchange, Aldar on the same exchange, annual reports, audited accounts, and quarterly results are publicly available. We read them. We are looking at what a credit analyst would look at: cash and cash equivalents relative to the construction programme's remaining cost, whether there is a development finance facility from a named UAE bank or whether the programme depends primarily on incoming sales receipts, and the pace of pre-sales relative to the stated construction timeline.


For privately held developers, this transparency does not exist by default. We ask directly: how is the programme funded? What proportion of construction cost is covered by a facility, and what proportion depends on sales? What happens to the construction programme if sales slow for six months? A developer with a sound position will answer these questions without hesitation. Evasion also tells you what you need to know.


Who is actually building it

The developer does not build the project. The main contractor does. We ask who that contractor is, what they have completed in the UAE, and whether they have worked with this developer before. A developer who has completed multiple projects with the same main contractor on comparable timelines presents a materially different risk profile from one entering a new contractor relationship on their largest project to date. This is one of the least-asked and most informative questions in off-plan due diligence. We have written about the ways developers typically respond when these questions are raised and the responses are themselves informative.


The payment plan as a structural signal

In RAK, most off-plan payment schedules are time-based, tranches fall due on calendar dates rather than against verified construction milestones. Under Dubai's more established framework, drawdowns from developer escrow accounts require independent construction milestone certification. RAK's framework under Law No. 12 of 2023 is newer and less prescriptive on this point: where an SPA ties payments to milestones, buyers have the right to withhold payment if a milestone has not been reached; where it does not, the default is time-based. We look at where the developer's cash receipts materialise relative to when they need the funds to keep building. A plan that front-loads buyer payments well ahead of meaningful construction progress reduces the developer's delivery incentive in ways that matter when the market softens.


Completion record: verified independently

The developer's own materials will describe their completed projects. We verify independently. We speak to property management companies operating within completed developments about actual handover dates and how post-completion defects were handled. We check community platforms where buyers report their direct experience. We query RERA RAK's project register, which records completion status for all registered developments. According to Knight Frank's Dubai Residential Market Review Q3 2025, only 46% of planned UAE housing completions were delivered on time across the first nine months of 2025. That figure is for Dubai, where data granularity exceeds what is available for RAK, but it is a useful industry baseline against which to weigh any developer's delivery claims. A developer confident in their track record will not object to independent verification. One who deflects is, again, telling you something.


The Market Distinction That Matters Right Now


Several RAK developers perform well on every check above. RAK Properties' public financial disclosures, multi-decade completion record, and transparent communication about the current market, including Muhtadi's decision to pause launches rather than press ahead in unfavourable contracting conditions, are precisely the signals a well-run developer sends. The pause itself is a form of covenant: a company confident in its long-term position, unwilling to commit buyers to projects it cannot currently price with accuracy. The February 2026 RAK Market Intelligence report sets out the current state of the market in more detail.


The market distinction that matters right now is between developers with that kind of institutional depth and those without it. That distinction was always present. The conflict has made it more consequential. Understanding which side of it a specific developer sits on is what due diligence is for, and it is a question that brokers paid on completion by developers have every reason to answer accurately.


If you are considering a specific RAK development and want an independent assessment of the developer's financial position, delivery record, and contractor relationships before you commit, get in touch. There is no fee to you. Dean Property is a brokerage paid by developers on completion. We cover what that means, and why it matters, here.


Dean Property is a real estate brokerage paid by developers on completion, not by clients. This article is published for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.



Sources

  • Sameh Muhtadi, CEO RAK Properties, quoted in AGBI, March 2026

  • RAK Properties FY2025 annual results

  • Gulf News and Khaleej Times, reporting on Schon Properties and Dubai Lagoon

  • Knight Frank, Dubai Residential Market Review Q3 2025

  • RAK Law No. 12 of 2023

 
 
 

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